Co‐occurrence of California Drought and Northeast Pacific Marine Heatwaves Under Climate Change

Shi, Hui; García‐Reyes, Marisol; Jacox, Michael G.; Rykaczewski, Ryan R.; Black, Bryan A.; Bograd, Steven J.; Sydeman, William J.

doi:10.1029/2021gl092765

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Co‐occurrence of California Drought and Northeast Pacific Marine Heatwaves Under Climate Change

2021
By Shi, Hui ; García‐Reyes, Marisol ; Jacox, Michael G. ; ...
Source: Geophysical Research Letters, 48(17)

[PDF-1.11 MB]

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Details:

Journal Title:

Geophysical Research Letters
Personal Author:

Shi, Hui ; García‐Reyes, Marisol ; Jacox, Michael G. ; Rykaczewski, Ryan R. ; Black, Bryan A. ; ... More +

Shi, Hui ; García‐Reyes, Marisol ; Jacox, Michael G. ; Rykaczewski, Ryan R. ; Black, Bryan A. ; Bograd, Steven J. ; Sydeman, William J. Less -
NOAA Program & Office:

NMFS (National Marine Fisheries Service) ; OAR (Oceanic and Atmospheric Research) ; PIFSC (Pacific Islands Fisheries Science Center) ; PSL (Physical Sciences Laboratory) ; SWFSC (Southwest Fisheries Science Center)

NMFS (National Marine Fisheries Service) ; OAR (Oceanic and Atmospheric Research) ; PIFSC (Pacific Islands Fisheries Science Center) ; PSL (Physical Sciences Laboratory) ; SWFSC (Southwest Fisheries Science Center) Less -
Description:

Motivated by the uncommon yet highly impactful co-occurrence of California (CA) drought and a northeast Pacific (NEP) marine heatwave (MHW) during 2013–2016, we examined such compound extremes in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 projections, comparing the end of the 21st century with the preindustrial period, and separating effects of long-term trends from interannual variability. Here, we show that long-term trends due to anthropogenic climate change will dramatically increase the co-occurrence of extreme dry CA and warm NEP conditions. When trends are removed, the co-occurrence of CA drought and Gulf of Alaska (GOA) MHW will increase while the co-occurrence
Keywords:

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General Earth And Planetary Sciences Geophysics
Source:

Geophysical Research Letters, 48(17)
DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1029/2021gl092765
ISSN:

0094-8276;1944-8007;
Format:

PDF
Publisher:

American Geophysical Union (AGU)
Document Type:

Journal Article
Funding:

Grant no. NA19OAR4310290
License:

https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/
Rights Information:

CC BY-NC
Compliance:

Library
Main Document Checksum:

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urn:sha256:55b7e329b6c4258e28c9ae88d52157eddcbf4d6a1c994bdc347cc76a1c3b374f
Download URL:

https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/54668/noaa_54668_DS1.pdf
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