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Extratropical Shortwave Cloud Feedbacks in the Context of the Global Circulation and Hydrological Cycle
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2022
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Source: Geophysical Research Letters, 49(8)
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Journal Title:Geophysical Research Letters
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Description:Shortwave (SW) cloud feedback (SWFB) is the primary driver of uncertainty in the effective climate sensitivity (ECS) predicted by global climate models (GCMs). ECS for several GCMs participating in the sixth assessment report exceed 5K, above the fifth assessment report “likely” maximum (4.5K) due to extratropical SWFB's that are more positive than those simulated in the previous generation of GCMs. Here we show that across 57 GCMs Southern Ocean SWFB can be predicted from the sensitivity of column- integrated liquid water mass (LWP) to moisture convergence and to surface temperature. The response of LWP to moisture convergence and the response of albedo to LWP anti-correlate across GCMs. This is because
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Source:Geophysical Research Letters, 49(8)
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ISSN:0094-8276;1944-8007;
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Rights Information:Other
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Rights Statement:Crown copyright. This article is published with the permission of the Controller of HMSO and the Queen's Printer for Scotland.
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Compliance:Library
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