The Gauging and Modeling of Rivers in the Sky

Lavers, David A.; Rodwell, Mark J.; Richardson, David S.; Ralph, F. Martin; Doyle, James D.; Reynolds, Carolyn A.; Tallapragada, Vijay; Pappenberger, Florian

doi:10.1029/2018gl079019

i

The Gauging and Modeling of Rivers in the Sky

Supporting Files

2018
By Lavers, David A. ; Rodwell, Mark J. ; Richardson, David S. ; ...

Details

Journal Title:

Geophysical Research Letters
Personal Author:

Lavers, David A. ; Rodwell, Mark J. ; Richardson, David S. ; Ralph, F. Martin ; Doyle, James D. ; Reynolds, Carolyn A. ; Tallapragada, Vijay ; Pappenberger, Florian
NOAA Program & Office:

NWS (National Weather Service) ; EMC (Environmental Modelling Center) ; NCEP (National Centers for Environmental Prediction)
Description:

Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are responsible for most of the horizontal water vapor ﬂux outside of the tropics and can cause extreme precipitation and affect the atmospheric dynamics and predictability. For their impacts to be skillfully predicted, it is essential for weather forecasting systems to accurately represent AR characteristics. Using the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts IntegratedForecasting System and dropsonde observations from the 2018 AR Reconnaissance ﬁeld campaign over the Northeast Paci ﬁc Ocean, it is shown that the AR structure is modeled well but that short-range water vapor ﬂux forecasts have a root-mean-square error of 60.0 kgm /C01s/C01(21.9% of mean observed ﬂux). These
Keywords:

General Earth And Planetary Sciences Geophysics General Earth And Planetary Sciences General Earth And Planetary Sciences
Source:

Geophysical Research Letters, 45(15), 7828-7834
DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1029/2018gl079019
ISSN:

0094-8276 ; 1944-8007
Format:

PDF
Publisher:

American Geophysical Union (AGU)
Document Type:

Journal Article
License:

https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
Rights Information:

CC BY-NC-ND
Compliance:

Library
Main Document Checksum:

urn:sha256:e019859c92ec9a61dda6ffc50a5b463b6b9455f530bd30f49f7fbe0fd3985a39
Download URL:

https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/53778/noaa_53778_DS1.pdf
File Type:

[PDF - 3.62 MB ]

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