The NOAA IR serves as an archival repository of NOAA-published products including scientific findings, journal articles, guidelines, recommendations, or other information authored or co-authored by NOAA or funded partners.
As a repository, the NOAA IR retains documents in their original published format to ensure public access to scientific information.
i
New Findings From Explainable SYM‐H Forecasting Using Gradient Boosting Machines
-
2022
-
-
Source: Space Weather, 20(8)
Details:
-
Journal Title:Space Weather
-
Personal Author:
-
NOAA Program & Office:
-
Description:In this work, we develop gradient boosting machines (GBMs) for forecasting the SYM-H index multiple hours ahead using different combinations of solar wind and interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) parameters, derived parameters, and past SYM-H values. Using Shapley Additive Explanation values to quantify the contributions from each input to predictions of the SYM-H index from GBMs, we show that our predictions are consistent with physical understanding while also providing insight into the complex relationship between the solar wind and Earth's ring current. In particular, we found that feature contributions vary depending on the storm phase. We also perform a direct comparison between GBMs and neural networks
-
Keywords:
-
Source:Space Weather, 20(8)
-
DOI:
-
ISSN:1542-7390;1542-7390;
-
Format:
-
Publisher:
-
Document Type:
-
License:
-
Rights Information:CC BY
-
Compliance:Library
-
Main Document Checksum:
-
Download URL:
-
File Type: