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Are you thinking what i’m thinking? A conceptual modeling approach to understand stakeholders’ assessments of the fate of chesapeake oysters
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2019
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Source: Marine Policy, 99, 99-110
[PDF-1.24 MB]
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Journal Title:Marine Policy
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NOAA Program & Office:
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Description:The history of oyster management in the Chesapeake Bay is replete with examples of conflict, including an era commonly referred to as the Oyster Wars. Yet, the community of people who work with and depend on oysters has some shared challenges and some stories of success. Using conceptual modeling methods (fuzzy cognitive mapping in particular), we explore whether some stakeholders support and others oppose management proposals because they have fundamentally different predictions for what the outcome of the management actions or other perturbations to the system will be. Stakeholders across the oyster community completed a conceptual mapping exercise as part of the Chesapeake Oyster Summit to describe their perception of how the ecosystem (including humans) functions. This analysis takes those conceptual maps, aggregated by stakeholder group, to model their predictions under currently proposed or frequently discussed management scenarios. Results show more unity than one might expect in how the ecosystem is expected to respond to management initiatives and predicted environmental perturbations. Feedback loops also emerge in some scenarios to either buffer or exacerbate the effects of the management on the ecosystem.
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Source:Marine Policy, 99, 99-110
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ISSN:0308-597X
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Rights Information:Accepted Manuscript
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Rights Statement:This manuscript is made available under the Elsevier user license https://www.elsevier.com/open-access/userlicense/1.0/
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