Modeling at-sea density of marine birds to support renewable energy planning on the Pacific Outer Continental Shelf of the contiguous United States
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2021
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Details
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Personal Author:Leirness, J.B. ; Adams, J. ; Ballance, L.T. ; Coyne, M. ; Felis, J.J. ; Joyce, T. ; Pereksta, D.M. ; Winship, A.J.
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Jeffrey, C.F.G.
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Ainley, D.
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Croll, D.
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Evenson, J.
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Jahncke, J.
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McIver, W.
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Miller, P.I.
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Pearson, S.
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Strong, C.
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Sydeman, W.
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Waddell, J.E.
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Zamon, J.E.
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Christensen, J.
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Description:This report describes the at-sea spatial distributions of marine birds in Pacific OCS waters off the contiguous U.S. (Figure 1.1) to inform marine spatial planning in the region. The goal was to estimate long-term average spatial distributions for marine bird species using all available science-quality transect survey data and numerous bathymetric, oceanographic, and atmospheric predictor variables. We developed seasonal habitat-based spatial models of the at-sea distribution for 33 individual species and 13 taxonomic groups of marine birds throughout the study region. A statistical modeling framework was used to estimate numerical relationships between bird sighting data (i.e., standardized counts) and a range of temporal (e.g., Pacific Decadal Oscillation [PDO] index), spatially static (e.g., depth), and spatially dynamic (e.g., sea surface chlorophyll-a concentration) environmental variables. The estimated relationships were then used to predict spatially explicit long-term average density (individuals per km2) throughout the study area for each species/group in each of four seasons. Bird sighting data came from multiple scientific survey programs and consisted of at-sea counts of birds collected between 1980 and 2017 using boat-based and fixed-wing aerial transect survey methods. Spatial environmental variables were derived from remote sensing satellite data and an ocean dynamics model.
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Series:OCS Study BOEM 2021-014
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Rights Information:CC0 Public Domain
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Compliance:Submitted
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Main Document Checksum:urn:sha-512:d6787143c62d99736e670758de74671276166cb9938bb922cb48ef93aced745d99a6e145ade65f2d01791dcd64e09493c7f62893de08585e821df22a3dcd9d56
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