Drought and all-cause mortality in Nebraska from 1980 to 2014: Time-series analyses by age, sex, race, urbanicity and drought severity

Abadi, A.A.; Gwon, Y.; Gribble, M.O.; Berman, J.D.; Bilotta, R.; Hobbins, M.; Bell, J.E.

doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.156660

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Drought and all-cause mortality in Nebraska from 1980 to 2014: Time-series analyses by age, sex, race, urbanicity and drought severity

2022
By Abadi, A.A. ; Gwon, Y. ; Gribble, M.O. ; ...
Source: Science of the Total Environment 840 (2022) 156660

[PDF-1.00 MB]

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Details:

Journal Title:

Science of The Total Environment
Personal Author:

Abadi, A.A. ; Gwon, Y. ; Gribble, M.O. ; Berman, J.D. ; Bilotta, R. ; ... More +

Abadi, A.A. ; Gwon, Y. ; Gribble, M.O. ; Berman, J.D. ; Bilotta, R. ; Hobbins, M. ; Bell, J.E. Less -
NOAA Program & Office:

OAR (Oceanic and Atmospheric Research) ; PSL (Physical Sciences Laboratory) ; CIRES (Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences) ; NCICS (North Carolina Institute for Climate Studies)

OAR (Oceanic and Atmospheric Research) ; PSL (Physical Sciences Laboratory) ; CIRES (Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences) ; NCICS (North Carolina Institute for Climate Studies) Less -
Description:

Climate change will increase drought duration and severity in many regions around the world, including the Central Plains of North America. However, studies on drought-related health impacts are still sparse. This study aims to explore the potential associations between drought and all-cause mortality in Nebraska from 1980 to 2014. The Evaporative Demand Drought Index (EDDI) were used to define short-, medium- and long-term drought exposures, respectively. We used a Bayesian zero-inflated censored negative binomial (ZICNB) regression model to estimate the overall association between drought and annual mortality first in the total population and second in stratified sub-populations based on age, race, sex, and the urbanicity class of the counties. Our results suggest that mortality in middle aged white population in Nebraska shows a greater association with drought. Moreover, women aged 45–54 were more affected than men in non-metro counties. With a projected increase in the frequency and severity of drought due to climate change, understanding these relationships between drought and human health will better inform drought mitigation planning to reduce potential impacts.
Keywords:

[+]

Climatic Changes Demography Droughts Mortality Public Health Climate Change Health Disparity Urbanicity
Source:

Science of the Total Environment 840 (2022) 156660
DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.156660
Format:

PDF
Document Type:

Journal Article
Funding:

Grant no. NA09NES4400006 ; Grant no. NA20OAR4310368

Grant no. NA09NES4400006 ; Grant no. NA20OAR4310368 Less -
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Accepted Manuscript
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Submitted
Main Document Checksum:

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urn:sha256:3d83b3ac8a25d22f03b27b84c2afd33de89f324a41373e11f75a52edc8ca5f53
Download URL:

https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/49003/noaa_49003_DS1.pdf
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