Breaking New Ground in Severe Weather Prediction: The 2015 NOAA/Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Forecasting Experiment

Gallo, B. T.; Clark, A. J.; Jirak, I.; Kain, J. S.; Weiss, S. J.; Coniglio, M.; Knopfmeier, K.; Correia, J., Jr.; Melick, C. J.; Karstens, C. D.; Iyer, E.; Dean, A. R.; Xue, M.; Kong, F.; Jung, Y.; Shen, F.; Thomas, K. W.; Brewster, K.; Stratman, D.; Carbin, G. W.; Line, W.; Adams-Selin, R.; Willington, S.

doi:10.1175/waf-d-16-0178.1

Advanced Search

Select up to three search categories and corresponding keywords using the fields to the right. Refer to the Help section for more detailed instructions.

Search our Collections & Repository

Advanced Search
Custom Query

All these words:

For very narrow results

This exact word or phrase:

When looking for a specific result

Any of these words:

Best used for discovery & interchangable words

None of these words:

Recommended to be used in conjunction with other fields

Language:

Dates

Publication Date Range:

to

Document Data

Title:

Document Type:

Library

Collection:

Series:

People

Author:

Clear All

Query Builder

Query box

Clear All

For additional assistance using the Custom Query please check out our Help Page

i

Breaking New Ground in Severe Weather Prediction: The 2015 NOAA/Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Forecasting Experiment

2017
By Gallo, B. T. ; Clark, A. J. ; Jirak, I. ; ...
Source: Weather and Forecasting, 32(4), 1541-1568

[PDF-3.93 MB]

Details You May Also Like

Details:

Journal Title:

Weather and Forecasting
Personal Author:

Gallo, B. T. ; Clark, A. J. ; Jirak, I. ; Kain, J. S. ; Weiss, S. J. ; ... More +

Gallo, B. T. ; Clark, A. J. ; Jirak, I. ; Kain, J. S. ; Weiss, S. J. ; Coniglio, M. ; Knopfmeier, K. ; Correia, J., Jr. ; Melick, C. J. ; Karstens, C. D. ; Iyer, E. ; Dean, A. R. ; Xue, M. ; Kong, F. ; Jung, Y. ; Shen, F. ; Thomas, K. W. ; Brewster, K. ; Stratman, D. ; Carbin, G. W. ; Line, W. ; Adams-Selin, R. ; Willington, S. Less -
NOAA Program & Office:

OAR (Oceanic and Atmospheric Research) ; NSSL (National Severe Storms Laboratory) ; NWS (National Weather Service) ; SPC (Storm Prediction Center) ; CIMMS (Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies)

OAR (Oceanic and Atmospheric Research) ; NSSL (National Severe Storms Laboratory) ; NWS (National Weather Service) ; SPC (Storm Prediction Center) ; CIMMS (Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies) Less -
Description:

Led by NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center and National Severe Storms Laboratory, annual spring forecasting experiments (SFEs) in the Hazardous Weather Testbed test and evaluate cutting-edge technologies and concepts for improving severe weather prediction through intensive real-time forecasting and evaluation activities. Experimental forecast guidance is provided through collaborations with several U.S. government and academic institutions, as well as the Met Office. The purpose of this article is to summarize activities, insights, and preliminary findings from recent SFEs, emphasizing SFE 2015. Several innovative aspects of recent experiments are discussed, including the 1) use of convection-allowing model (CAM) ensembles with advanced ensemble data assimilation, 2) generation of severe weather outlooks valid at time periods shorter than those issued operationally (e.g., 1–4 h), 3) use of CAMs to issue outlooks beyond the day 1 period, 4) increased interaction through software allowing participants to create individual severe weather outlooks, and 5) tests of newly developed storm-attribute-based diagnostics for predicting tornadoes and hail size. Additionally, plans for future experiments will be discussed, including the creation of a Community Leveraged Unified Ensemble (CLUE) system, which will test various strategies for CAM ensemble design using carefully designed sets of ensemble members contributed by different agencies to drive evidence-based decision-making for near-future operational systems.
Keywords:

[+]

Forecasting Severe Storms
Source:

Weather and Forecasting, 32(4), 1541-1568
DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1175/waf-d-16-0178.1
Document Type:

Journal Article
Funding:

Grant no. NA11OAR4320072 ; Grant no. NA11OAR4320072

Grant no. NA11OAR4320072 ; Grant no. NA11OAR4320072 Less -
Rights Information:

Other
Compliance:

CHORUS
Main Document Checksum:

[+]

urn:sha256:fc7257f285d304a6cb2265dc11c58ef76510d627891a3894843b5368b6c8883d
Download URL:

https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/48408/noaa_48408_DS1.pdf
File Type:

No Additional Files

More +

Breaking New Ground in Severe Weather Prediction: The 2015 NOAA/Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Forecasting Experiment

Details:

Supporting Files

You May Also Like