Anticipatory Culture: Weather, Climate, and Temporal Dissonance in the Bering Sea.

Baker, Zeke

doi:10.1175/WCAS-D-21-0066.1.

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Anticipatory Culture: Weather, Climate, and Temporal Dissonance in the Bering Sea.

2021
By Baker, Zeke
Source: Weather, Climate, and Society, 13(4), 783-795

[PDF-640.49 KB]

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Journal Title:

Weather, Climate, and Society
Personal Author:

Baker, Zeke
NOAA Program & Office:

CIWRO (Cooperative Institute for Severe and High-Impact Weather Research and Operations) ; NWS (National Weather Service) ; AR (Alaska Region)

CIWRO (Cooperative Institute for Severe and High-Impact Weather Research and Operations) ; NWS (National Weather Service) ; AR (Alaska Region) Less -
Description:

A major implication of climate change is the declining capacity for communities to anticipate future conditions and scenarios. In the Bering Sea region of western Alaska, this situation is acute and holds manifold consequences, particularly for the region’s primarily Indigenous residents. Based upon interviews and fieldwork in two Bering Sea communities and among regional weather forecasters, this paper explores the intertwined temporalities of weather, climate, and social life. I demonstrate that anticipatory culture, which otherwise structures anticipatory practices with regard to climate, local weather, and social life, is beset by temporal dissonance across three time scales. First, dramatic climatic and ecosystem shifts reshape how Indigenous Peoples envision themselves as culturally inhabiting a long-range history and future. Second, changes in weather patterns, ecological cycles, and sea ice dynamics upset evaluations of seasonality, leading to a pervasive sense of unpredictability. Third, on the everyday time scale, social and technological change complicates mariners’ evaluations of risk and economic (commercial and subsistence) decision-making. I conclude by connecting these three socioenvironmental temporalities to the temporal frames that primarily characterize weather and climate services, with an emphasis on the U.S. National Weather Service. The paper discusses how such services may further orient toward engaging socially embedded practices of anticipation in addition to formal prediction. Such an orientation can help to shape an anticipatory culture that more closely aligns meteorological and social patterns.
Keywords:

[+]

Meteorology Indigenous knowledge
Source:

Weather, Climate, and Society, 13(4), 783-795
DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1175/WCAS-D-21-0066.1.
Document Type:

Journal Article
Funding:

Grant no. NA16OAR4320115-91
Place as Subject:

Bering Sea
Rights Information:

Other
Compliance:

Submitted
Main Document Checksum:

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urn:sha256:cc49f675f8a248a78a85fa1a43194a754a6047b084a114389b20f3cd6e86cae6
Download URL:

https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/47645/noaa_47645_DS1.pdf
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Anticipatory Culture: Weather, Climate, and Temporal Dissonance in the Bering Sea.

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