Increasing Hurricane Intensification Rate Near the US Atlantic Coast

Balaguru, Karthik; Foltz, Gregory R.; Leung, L. Ruby; Xu, Wenwei; Kim, Dongmin; Lopez, Hosmay; West, Robert

doi:10.1029/2022GL099793

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Increasing Hurricane Intensification Rate Near the US Atlantic Coast

2022
By Balaguru, Karthik ; Foltz, Gregory R. ; Leung, L. Ruby ; ...
Source: Geophysical Research Letters, 49, e2022GL099793

[PDF-4.32 MB]

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Details:

Journal Title:

Geophysical Research Letters
Personal Author:

Balaguru, Karthik ; Foltz, Gregory R. ; Leung, L. Ruby ; Xu, Wenwei ; Kim, Dongmin ; ... More +

Balaguru, Karthik ; Foltz, Gregory R. ; Leung, L. Ruby ; Xu, Wenwei ; Kim, Dongmin ; Lopez, Hosmay ; West, Robert Less -
NOAA Program & Office:

OAR (Oceanic and Atmospheric Research) ; AOML (Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory) ; CIMAS (Cooperative Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Studies)

OAR (Oceanic and Atmospheric Research) ; AOML (Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory) ; CIMAS (Cooperative Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Studies) Less -
Description:

Hurricanes often cause severe damage and loss of life, and storms that intensify close to the coast pose a particularly serious threat. While changes in hurricane intensification and environment have been examined at basin scales previously, near-coastal changes have not been adequately explored. In this study, we address this using a suite of observations and climate model simulations. Over the 40-year period of 1979–2018, the mean 24-hr hurricane intensification rate increased by ∼1.2 kt 6-hr−1 near the US Atlantic coast. However, a significant increase in intensification did not occur near the Gulf coast over the same period. The enhanced hurricane intensification along the Atlantic coast is consistent with an increasingly favorable dynamic and thermodynamic environment there, which is well simulated by climate models over the historical period. Further, multi-model projections suggest a continued enhancement of the storm environment and hurricane intensification near the Atlantic coast in the future.
Keywords:

[+]

Hurricanes Near coastal
Source:

Geophysical Research Letters, 49, e2022GL099793
DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL099793
Document Type:

Journal Article
Place as Subject:

Atlantic Coast (U.S.) ; Atlantic Ocean

Atlantic Coast (U.S.) ; Atlantic Ocean Less -
Rights Information:

CC BY-NC-ND
Compliance:

Submitted
Main Document Checksum:

[+]

urn:sha256:84362a0008cc40665886f8c8e18b4810089bade2f2f3a58824916ac0fc1d4726
Download URL:

https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/47256/noaa_47256_DS1.pdf
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