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Description:Since the initial implementations of NCEP and ECMWF ensemble systems, ensemble approach has been widely accepted and actively pursued at almost all other major NWP centers around the globe such as Houtekamer et. al. (1996), Ebert (2001), Li and Chen (2002), Wang and Kann (2005), Eckel (2005), Chien et. al. (2006), Tennant et. al. (2007), Teixeira et. al. (2007) and Matsueda et. al. (2007). Research on ensemble forecasting also gained its strength since later 1990s and early 2000s and has merged as a hot topic in NWP nowadays (Buizza et. al., 1999a; Mullen and Buizza, 2001; Hansen, 2002; Grimit and Mass, 2002; Bright and Mullen, 2002a and 2002b; Hamill et. al., 2000 and 2004a; Legg and Mylne, 2004; Wandishin et. al., 2005; Eckel and Mass, 2005; Jones et. al., 2007; Yuan et. al., 2005 and 2007c; Jankov et. al., 2007). It’s expected that the ensemble-based probabilistic forecasting will play more and more important role in shaping the future of numerical weather prediction practice and service in years to come.
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