Tropical cyclone prediction on subseasonal time-scales

Details

• Journal Title:
  Tropical Cyclone Research and Review
• Personal Author:
  Camargo, Suzana J. ; Camp, Joanne ; Elsberry, Russell L. ; Gregory, Paul A. ; Klotzbach, Philip J. ; Schreck, Carl J. ; Sobel, Adam H. ; Ventrice, Michael J. ; Vitart, Frédéric ; Wang, Zhuo ; Wheeler, Matthew C. ; Yamaguchi, Munehiko ; Zhan, Ruifen
• NOAA Program & Office:
  OAR (Oceanic and Atmospheric Research) ; CPO (Climate Program Office) ; CICS (Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites)
• Description:
  Here we discuss recent progress in understanding tropical cyclone (TC) subseasonal variability and its prediction. There has been a concerted effort to understand the sources of predictability at subseasonal time-scales, and this effort has continued to make progress in recent years. Besides the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO), other modes of variability affect TCs at these time-scales, in particular various equatorial waves. Additionally, TC activity is also modulated by extratropical processes via Rossby wave breaking.
• Keywords:
  Forecasts Hurricanes MJO Subseasonal Tropical Cyclones
• Source:
  Tropical Cyclone Research and Review, 8(3) 150-165
• DOI:
  https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tcrr.2019.10.004
• Document Type:
  Journal Article
• Funding:
  Grant no. NA16OAR4310079
• Rights Information:
  CC BY-NC-ND
• Compliance:
  Submitted
• Main Document Checksum:
  urn:sha256:53fed572a1ff65ed06a92bf4e207869a360a01d7289c1a897837764957dc7375
• Download URL:
  https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/37596/noaa_37596_DS1.pdf
• File Type:
  [PDF - 6.29 MB ]