Ocean Planning For Species On The Move Provides Substantial Benefits And Requires Few Trade-Offs

Pinsky, M. L.; Rogers, L. A.; Morley, J. W.; Frölicher, T. L.

doi:10.1126/sciadv.abb8428

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Ocean Planning For Species On The Move Provides Substantial Benefits And Requires Few Trade-Offs

2020
By Pinsky, M. L. ; Rogers, L. A. ; Morley, J. W. ; ...
Source: Science Advances 6(50), 2020

[PDF-1.74 MB]

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Details:

Journal Title:

Science Advances
Personal Author:

Pinsky, M. L. ; Rogers, L. A. ; Morley, J. W. ; Frölicher, T. L.

Pinsky, M. L. ; Rogers, L. A. ; Morley, J. W. ; Frölicher, T. L. Less -
NOAA Program & Office:

Sea Grant ; OAR (Oceanic and Atmospheric Research) ; CPO (Climate Program Office) ; NMFS (National Marine Fisheries Service) ; AFSC (Alaska Fisheries Science Center)

Sea Grant ; OAR (Oceanic and Atmospheric Research) ; CPO (Climate Program Office) ; NMFS (National Marine Fisheries Service) ; AFSC (Alaska Fisheries Science Center) Less -
Sea Grant Program:

NCU (North Carolina Sea Grant)
Description:

Societies increasingly use multisector ocean planning as a tool to mitigate conflicts over space in the sea, but such plans can be highly sensitive to species redistribution driven by climate change or other factors. A key uncertainty is whether planning ahead for future species redistributions imposes high opportunity costs and sharp trade-offs against current ocean plans. Here, we use more than 10,000 projections for marine animals around North America to test the impact of climate-driven species redistributions on the ability of ocean plans to meet their goals. We show that planning for redistributions can substantially reduce exposure to risks from climate change with little additional area set aside and with few trade-offs against current ocean plan effectiveness. Networks of management areas are a key strategy. While climate change will severely disrupt many human activities, we find a strong benefit to proactively planning for long-term ocean change.
Keywords:

[+]

Climate Change Migratory Animals
Source:

Science Advances 6(50), 2020
DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abb8428
Sea Grant Document Number:

NCU-R-20-011
Document Type:

Journal Article
Funding:

Grant no. NA14OAR4320158 ; Grant no. OAR-CPO-2014-2004106

Grant no. NA14OAR4320158 ; Grant no. OAR-CPO-2014-2004106 Less -
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CC BY
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urn:sha256:3127b9c20dd2c601409241dc069d3589a65a7453ef15e07adfa054c0c7feb06b
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https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/37427/noaa_37427_DS1.pdf
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Ocean Planning For Species On The Move Provides Substantial Benefits And Requires Few Trade-Offs

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