Atlantic Salmon (Salmo salar) Climate Scenario Planning Pilot Report

Details

• Personal Author:
  Borggaard, Diane, L. ; Dick, Dorothy, M. ; Star, Jonathan ; Alexander, Michael ; Bernier, Matthew ; Collins, Mathias ; Damon-Randall, Kimberly ; Dudley, Robert ; Griffis, Roger ; Hayes, Sean ; Johnson, Mike ; Kircheis, Dan ; Kocik, John ; Letcher, Benjamin ; Mantua, Nate ; Morrison, Wendy ; Nislow, Keith ; Saba, Vincent ; Saunders, Rory ; Sheehan, Tim ; Staudinger, Michelle, D.
• Corporate Authors:
  United States. National Marine Fisheries Service. Greater Atlantic Regional Fisheries Office
• NOAA Program & Office:
  NMFS (National Marine Fisheries Service) ; NEFSC (Northeast Fisheries Science Center) ; SWFSC (Southwest Fisheries Science Center) ; GARF (Greater Atlantic Regional Fisheries) ; OHC (Office of Habitat Conservation) ; OPR (Office of Protected Resources) ; OSF (Office of Sustainable Fisheries) ; OST (Office of Science and Technology) ; OAR (Oceanic and Atmospheric Research) ; ESRL (Earth System Research Laboratory)
• Description:
  Scenario planning is a structured process that embraces uncertainty and explores plausible alternative future conditions under different assumptions to help manage risk and prioritize actions (Schwartz 1996, Peterson et al. 2003). It has been used by a variety of organizations to explore and help prepare for the future, lends itself well to exploring the uncertainty surrounding changing environmental conditions, and is widely applicable to natural resource management issues. The conservation and management of protected resources for example, can be particularly challenging when the rate and magnitude of climate-related changes, and the response of species to those changes, are uncertain (NMFS 2016). The structured process of scenario planning can help resource managers navigate through potentially paralyzing uncertainties, manage risk, and evaluate/prioritize management actions associated with adapting to, and managing for, climate change (Moore et al. 2013).
• Keywords:
  Atlantic salmon Scenario planning Climate change
• Series:
  Greater Atlantic Region Policy Series   19-05
• Document Type:
  Miscellaneous
• Rights Information:
  Public Domain
• Compliance:
  Submitted
• Main Document Checksum:
  urn:sha256:ea15d0f5d7000d80cbdb0db6c494256ddcde1ad94e3a6f5f243184b4dba894b6
• Download URL:
  https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/33877/noaa_33877_DS1.pdf
• File Type:
  [PDF - 12.35 MB ]