Probability theory and its implication on precipitation forecasting

Last, Jeffrey K.; Skowronski, James

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Probability theory and its implication on precipitation forecasting

1990

By Last, Jeffrey K. ; Skowronski, James

Series: Central Region Technical attachment ; 90-20

[PDF-3.07 MB]

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Personal Author:

Last, Jeffrey K. ; Skowronski, James

Corporate Authors:

United States. National Weather Service. Central Region

NOAA Program & Office:

NWS (National Weather Service) ; CR (Central Region)

Description:

Operational meteorologists often express the likelihood of a meteorological event occurring during a forecast period by assigning the event a probability. This is done for two main reasons. First, the use of probabilities is a convenient way to deal with the inherent uncertainty involved in weather prediction. A forecast expressed in probabilistic terms can represent the forecaster's confidence in the forecast. Second, users require estimates of the likelihood of occurrence of weather events in order to make important weather-related decisions.

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Series:

Central Region Technical attachment ; 90-20

Document Type:

Technical attachment

Rights Information:

Public domain

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Library

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https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/33843/noaa_33843_DS1.pdf

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Probability theory and its implication on precipitation forecasting

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