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How to use MOS guidance effectively: Part III
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1987
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Description:In this, the third in a series of Technical Attachments on how to use Model Output Statistics (MOS) effectively, I will discuss the MOS probability of precipitation (PoP) guidance. Probability forecasts are provided for the 12-hour periods of 12-24, 24-36, 36-48, and 48-60 hours after 0000Z or 1200Z. Also, within each 12-hour period, two corresponding 6-hour probability forecasts are provided. As mentioned in Parts I and II, significant MOS errors can occur even when the LFM is performing well. In my discussion I will focus on these types of errors because they can be difficult to diagnose.
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Rights Information:Public domain
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Compliance:Library
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