Quantifying uncertainty in future ocean carbon uptake

Dunne, John P.

doi:10.1002/2016GB005525

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Quantifying uncertainty in future ocean carbon uptake

2016
By Dunne, John P.
Source: Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 30(10), 1563-1565

[PDF-179.15 KB]

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Journal Title:

Global Biogeochemical Cycles
Personal Author:

Dunne, John P.
NOAA Program & Office:

OAR (Oceanic and Atmospheric Research) ; GFDL (Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory)

OAR (Oceanic and Atmospheric Research) ; GFDL (Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory) Less -
Description:

Attributing uncertainty in ocean carbon uptake between societal trajectory (scenarios), Earth System Model construction (structure), and inherent natural variation in climate (internal) is critical to make progress in identifying, understanding, and reducing those uncertainties. In the present issue of Global Biogeochemical Cycles, Lovenduski et al. (2016) disentangle these drivers of uncertainty in ocean carbon uptake over time and space and assess the resulting implications for the emergence timescales of structural and scenario uncertainty over internal variability. Such efforts are critical for establishing realizable and efficient monitoring goals and prioritizing areas of continued model development. Under recently proposed climate stabilization targets, such efforts to partition uncertainty also become increasingly critical to societal decision-making in the context of carbon stabilization.
Keywords:

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Carbon Cycle (Biogeochemistry) Carbon Dioxide Sinks Carbon Climate Ocean
Source:

Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 30(10), 1563-1565
DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GB005525
Document Type:

Journal Article
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Public Domain
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Submitted
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urn:sha256:87c7ea6d6d2f9087eca7dc09024d53e4c0a95efe26ac4bcdfd393312ee78b66a
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https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/29609/noaa_29609_DS1.pdf
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Quantifying uncertainty in future ocean carbon uptake

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