The NOAA IR serves as an archival repository of NOAA-published products including scientific findings, journal articles, guidelines, recommendations, or other information authored or co-authored by NOAA or funded partners.
As a repository, the NOAA IR retains documents in their original published format to ensure public access to scientific information.
i
Hurricane Sandy’S Flood Frequency Increasing From Year 1800 To 2100
-
2016
-
-
Source: PNAS 113 (43) 12071-12075; https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1604386113
[PDF-4.60 MB]
Details:
-
Journal Title:Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
-
Personal Author:
-
NOAA Program & Office:
-
Sea Grant Program:
-
Description:Coastal flood hazard varies in response to changes in storm surge climatology and the sea level. Here we combine probabilistic projections of the sea level and storm surge climatology to estimate the temporal evolution of flood hazard. We find that New York City's flood hazard has increased significantly over the past two centuries and is very likely to increase more sharply over the 21st century. Due to the effect of sea level rise, the return period of Hurricane Sandy's flood height decreased by a factor of similar to 3x from year 1800 to 2000 and is estimated to decrease by a further similar to 4.4x from 2000 to 2100 under a moderate-emissions pathway. When potential storm climatology change over the 21st century is also accounted for, Sandy's return period is estimated to decrease by similar to 3x to 17x from 2000 to 2100.
-
Keywords:
-
Source:PNAS 113 (43) 12071-12075; https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1604386113
-
DOI:
-
Pubmed ID:27790992
-
Pubmed Central ID:PMC5087008
-
Document Type:
-
Funding:
-
Place as Subject:
-
Rights Information:Other
-
Compliance:PMC
-
Main Document Checksum:
-
Download URL:
-
File Type:
