Uncertain soil moisture feedbacks in model projections of Sahel precipitation

Berg, Alexis; Lintner, Benjamin R.; Findell, Kirsten; Giannini, Alessandra

doi:10.1002/2017GL073851

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Uncertain soil moisture feedbacks in model projections of Sahel precipitation

2017
By Berg, Alexis ; Lintner, Benjamin R. ; Findell, Kirsten ; ...
Source: Geophys. Res. Lett., 44, 6124– 6133,

[PDF-4.87 MB]

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Journal Title:

Geophysical Research Letters
Personal Author:

Berg, Alexis ; Lintner, Benjamin R. ; Findell, Kirsten ; Giannini, Alessandra

Berg, Alexis ; Lintner, Benjamin R. ; Findell, Kirsten ; Giannini, Alessandra Less -
Corporate Authors:

United States. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research ; Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections Program (U.S.) ; United States. National Weather Service. ; National Centers for Environmental Prediction (U.S.)

United States. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research ; Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections Program (U.S.) ; United States. National Weather Service. ; National Centers for Environmental Prediction (U.S.) Less -
NOAA Program & Office:

OAR (Oceanic and Atmospheric Research) ; CPO (Climate Program Office)

OAR (Oceanic and Atmospheric Research) ; CPO (Climate Program Office) Less -
Description:

Given the uncertainties in climate model projections of Sahel precipitation, at the northern edge of the West African Monsoon, understanding the factors governing projected precipitation changes in this semiarid region is crucial. This study investigates how long‐term soil moisture changes projected under climate change may feedback on projected changes of Sahel rainfall, using simulations with and without soil moisture change from five climate models participating in the Global Land Atmosphere Coupling Experiment‐Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 experiment. In four out of five models analyzed, soil moisture feedbacks significantly influence the projected West African precipitation response to warming; however, the sign of these feedbacks differs across the models. These results demonstrate that reducing uncertainties across model projections of the West African Monsoon requires, among other factors, improved mechanistic understanding and constraint of simulated land‐atmosphere feedbacks, even at the large spatial scales considered here.
Keywords:

[+]

Feedback Models Sahel Soil Moisture Feedbacks
Source:

Geophys. Res. Lett., 44, 6124– 6133,
DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1002/2017GL073851
Document Type:

Journal Article
Funding:

Grant no. NA15OAR4310091
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urn:sha256:e459b35d52f4f084851c049272ca2ec5d9481ba41316add6a839e6d02a31bb9d
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https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/28413/noaa_28413_DS1.pdf
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Uncertain soil moisture feedbacks in model projections of Sahel precipitation

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