Future Nuisance Flooding in Norfolk, VA, From Astronomical Tides and Annual to Decadal Internal Climate Variability

Burgos, A. G.; Hamlington, B. D.; Thompson, P. R.; Ray, R. D.

doi:10.1029/2018GL079572

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Future Nuisance Flooding in Norfolk, VA, From Astronomical Tides and Annual to Decadal Internal Climate Variability

2018
By Burgos, A. G. ; Hamlington, B. D. ; Thompson, P. R. ; ...
Source: Geophysical Research Letters 45(22):12432-12439, 2018

[PDF-1.08 MB]

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Journal Title:

Geophysical Research Letters
Personal Author:

Burgos, A. G. ; Hamlington, B. D. ; Thompson, P. R. ; Ray, R. D.

Burgos, A. G. ; Hamlington, B. D. ; Thompson, P. R. ; Ray, R. D. Less -
NOAA Program & Office:

JIMAR (Joint Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research) ; OAR (Oceanic and Atmospheric Research) ; GOMO (Global Ocean Monitoring and Observing)

JIMAR (Joint Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research) ; OAR (Oceanic and Atmospheric Research) ; GOMO (Global Ocean Monitoring and Observing) Less -
Description:

Increasing sea level rise will lead to more instances of nuisance flooding along the Virginia coastline in the coming decades, causing road closures and deteriorating infrastructure. These minor flood events can be caused by astronomical tides alone, in addition to internal climate variability on annual to decadal timescales. An assessment of nuisance flooding from these two effects is presented up until the year 2050 for Norfolk, Virginia. The analysis of water levels indicates that nuisance flooding from tides alone in conjunction with a medium‐high sea level scenario will result in flooding beginning in 2030 with frequency increasing thereafter. The addition of climate variability, by use of an empirical mode decomposition, leads to a substantial increase of flooding relative to the tides‐alone analysis and shows flood events beginning as soon as 2020. High tides in the future will produce nuisance flooding without the need of other drivers such as coastal storms.
Keywords:

[+]

Climate Change Floods Sea Level
Source:

Geophysical Research Letters 45(22):12432-12439, 2018
DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL079572
Document Type:

Journal Article
Funding:

Grant no. NA16NMF4320058
Place as Subject:

Norfolk (Va.)
Rights Information:

Other
Compliance:

Submitted
Main Document Checksum:

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urn:sha256:33cd529a33ab4d939d557f2a650039d5f2ecee257c32279bbcd07ede7a1e7524
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https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/27326/noaa_27326_DS1.pdf
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Future Nuisance Flooding in Norfolk, VA, From Astronomical Tides and Annual to Decadal Internal Climate Variability

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