The Relationship between the Madden–Julian Oscillation and Tropical Cyclone Rapid Intensification

Aberson, Sim D.; Kaplan, J.

doi:10.1175/WAF-D-19-0209.1

i

The Relationship between the Madden–Julian Oscillation and Tropical Cyclone Rapid Intensification

2020
By Aberson, Sim D. ; Kaplan, J.

Details

Journal Title:

Weather and Forecasting
Personal Author:

Aberson, Sim D. ; Kaplan, J.
NOAA Program & Office:

OAR (Oceanic and Atmospheric Research) ; AOML (Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory)
Description:

The relationship between the Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) and tropical cyclone rapid intensification in the northern basins of the Western Hemisphere is examined. All rapid intensification events in the part of the Western Hemisphere north of the equator and the MJO phase and amplitude are compiled from 1974 to 2015. Rapid intensification events and the MJO tend to move in tandem with each other from west to east across the hemisphere, though rapid intensification appears most likely during a neutral MJO phase. The addition of this information to an operational statistical rapid intensification forecasting scheme does not significantly improve forecasts.
Keywords:

Cyclones Madden-Julian Oscillation Tropics Madden-Julian Oscillation
Source:

Weather and Forecasting, 35(5), 1865-1870
DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-19-0209.1
Document Type:

Journal Article
Rights Information:

Other
Compliance:

Submitted
Main Document Checksum:

urn:sha-512:0de56f8e1699b97d38934343b1ce2e21dd1fcb03e3fe3aa449cf593ba9a4ce267d078a444eeec2d545fac34431261a1114f4fa81958f3ea01891695a57bdad06
Download URL:

https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/27255/noaa_27255_DS1.pdf
File Type:

[PDF - 923.67 KB ]

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