Environmental Suitability of Vibrio Infections in a Warming Climate: An Early Warning System

Semenza, Jan C.; Trinanes, Joaquin; Lohr, Wolfgang; Sudre, Bertrand; Löfdahl, Margareta; Martinez-Urtaza, Jaime; Nichols, Gordon L.; Rocklöv, Joacim

doi:10.1289/EHP2198

Advanced Search

Select up to three search categories and corresponding keywords using the fields to the right. Refer to the Help section for more detailed instructions.

Search our Collections & Repository

Advanced Search
Custom Query

All these words:

For very narrow results

This exact word or phrase:

When looking for a specific result

Any of these words:

Best used for discovery & interchangable words

None of these words:

Recommended to be used in conjunction with other fields

Language:

Dates

Publication Date Range:

to

Document Data

Title:

Document Type:

Library

Collection:

Series:

People

Author:

Clear All

Query Builder

Query box

Clear All

For additional assistance using the Custom Query please check out our Help Page

i

Environmental Suitability of Vibrio Infections in a Warming Climate: An Early Warning System

2017
By Semenza, Jan C. ; Trinanes, Joaquin ; Lohr, Wolfgang ; ...
Source: Environ Health Perspect. 2017 Oct; 125(10): 107004.

[PDF-3.90 MB]

Details You May Also Like

Details:

Journal Title:

Environmental Health Perspectives
Personal Author:

Semenza, Jan C. ; Trinanes, Joaquin ; Lohr, Wolfgang ; Sudre, Bertrand ; Löfdahl, Margareta ; ... More +

Semenza, Jan C. ; Trinanes, Joaquin ; Lohr, Wolfgang ; Sudre, Bertrand ; Löfdahl, Margareta ; Martinez-Urtaza, Jaime ; Nichols, Gordon L. ; Rocklöv, Joacim Less -
NOAA Program & Office:

OAR (Oceanic and Atmospheric Research) ; AOML (Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory) ; CIMAS (Cooperative Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Studies)

OAR (Oceanic and Atmospheric Research) ; AOML (Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory) ; CIMAS (Cooperative Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Studies) Less -
Description:

Background: Some Vibrio spp. are pathogenic and ubiquitous in marine waters with low to moderate salinity and thrive with elevated sea surface temperature (SST).

Objectives: Our objective was to monitor and project the suitability of marine conditions for Vibrio infections under climate change scenarios.

Methods: The European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) developed a platform (the ECDC Vibrio Map Viewer) to monitor the environmental suitability of coastal waters for Vibrio spp. using remotely sensed SST and salinity. A case-crossover study of Swedish cases was conducted to ascertain the relationship between SST and Vibrio infection through a conditional logistic regression. Climate change projections for Vibrio infections were developed for Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 and RCP 8.5.

Results: The ECDC Vibrio Map Viewer detected environmentally suitable areas for Vibrio spp. in the Baltic Sea in July 2014 that were accompanied by a spike in cases and one death in Sweden. The estimated exposure–response relationship for Vibrio infections at a threshold of 16°C revealed a relative risk (RR)=1.14 (95% CI: 1.02, 1.27; p=0.024) for a lag of 2 wk; the estimated risk increased successively beyond this SST threshold. Climate change projections for SST under the RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios indicate a marked upward trend during the summer months and an increase in the relative risk of these infections in the coming decades.

Conclusions:This platform can serve as an early warning system as the risk of further Vibrio infections increases in the 21st century due to climate change.
Keywords:

[+]

Climatic Change Climatic Factors Vibrio Infections
Source:

Environ Health Perspect. 2017 Oct; 125(10): 107004.
DOI:

http://dx.doi.org/10.1289/EHP2198
Pubmed ID:

29017986
Pubmed Central ID:

PMC5933323
Document Type:

Journal Article
Rights Information:

CC BY
Compliance:

PMC
Main Document Checksum:

[+]

urn:sha256:8231c391ba1570fda110a58b0c5ce9429cd0a573558d2662e35573073ff5cfb0
Download URL:

https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/26217/noaa_26217_DS1.pdf
File Type:

No Additional Files

More +

Environmental Suitability of Vibrio Infections in a Warming Climate: An Early Warning System

Details:

Supporting Files

You May Also Like