Future Changes in Hail Occurrence in the United States Determined through Convection-Permitting Dynamical Downscaling
Advanced Search
Select up to three search categories and corresponding keywords using the fields to the right. Refer to the Help section for more detailed instructions.
 
 
i

Superseded

This Document Has Been Replaced By:

i

Retired

This Document Has Been Retired

i

Up-to-date Information

This is the latest update:

Future Changes in Hail Occurrence in the United States Determined through Convection-Permitting Dynamical Downscaling
  • Published Date:

    2019

  • Source:
    J. Climate (2019) 32 (17): 5493–5509.
Filetype[PDF-10.28 MB]


This document cannot be previewed automatically as it exceeds 5 MB
Please click the thumbnail image to view the document.
Future Changes in Hail Occurrence in the United States Determined through Convection-Permitting Dynamical Downscaling
Details:
  • Description:
    The effect of anthropogenically enhanced greenhouse gas concentrations on the frequency and intensity of hail depends on a range of physical processes and scales. These include the environmental support of the hail-generating convective storms and the frequency of their initiation, the storm volume over which hail growth is promoted, and the depth of the lower atmosphere conducive to melting. Here, we use high-resolution (convection permitting) dynamical downscaling to simultaneously account for these effects. We find broad geographical areas of increases in the frequency of large hail (⁠35-mm diameter) over the United States, during all four seasons. Increases in very large hail (⁠50-mm diameter) are mostly confined to the central United States, during boreal spring and summer. And, although increases in moderate hail (⁠20-mm diameter) are also found throughout the year, decreases occur over much of the eastern United States in summer. Such decreases result from a projected decrease in convective-storm frequency. Overall, these results suggest that the annual U.S. hail season may begin earlier in the year, be lengthened by more than a week, and exhibit more interannual variability in the future.
  • Keywords:
  • Document Type:
  • Place as Subject:
  • Main Document Checksum:
  • File Type:
  • Supporting Files:
    No Additional Files
No Related Documents.

You May Also Like: