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Robust estimates of a high N-e/N ratio in a top marine predator, southern bluefin tuna
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2018
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Source: Science Advances 4(7), 2018
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Journal Title:Science Advances
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Description:Genetic studies of several marine species with high fecundity have produced "tiny" estimates (<101 of the ratio of effective population size (Ne) to adult census size (N), suggesting that even very large populations might be at genetic risk. A recent study using close-kin mark-recapture methods estimated adult abundance at N 2 x 106 for southern bluefin tuna (SBT), a highly fecund top predator that supports a lucrative (-$1 billion/year) fishery. We used the same genetic and life history data (almost 13,000 fish collected over 5 years) to generate genetic and demographic estimates of Ne per generation and Nb (effective number of breeders) per year and the NeIN ratio. Demographic estimates, which accounted for age-specific vital rates, skip breeding, variation in fecundity at age, and persistent individual differences in reproductive success, suggest that Ne/N is >0.1 and perhaps about 0.5. The genetic estimates supported this conclusion. Simulations using true Ne = 5 x 105 (Ne/N = 0.25) produced results statistically consistent with the empirical genetic estimates, whereas simulations using Ne = 2 x 104 (NeIN = 0.01) did not. Our results show that robust estimates of Ne and Ne/N can be obtained for large populations, provided sufficiently large numbers of individuals and genetic markers are used and temporal replication (here, 5 years of adult and juvenile samples) is sufficient to provide a distribution of estimates. The high estimated Ne/N ratio in SBT is encouraging and suggests that the species will not be compromised by a lack of genetic diversity in responding to environmental change and harvest.
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Source:Science Advances 4(7), 2018
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DOI:
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Pubmed Central ID:PMC6051734
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Rights Information:CC BY
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Compliance:PMC
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