i
ENSO-induced co-variability of Salinity, Plankton Biomass and Coastal Currents in the Northern Gulf of Mexico
-
2019
-
-
Source: Scientific Reports, 9, 178.
Details:
-
Journal Title:Scientific Reports
-
Personal Author:
-
NOAA Program & Office:
-
Description:This study investigates the role of the parameterized boundary layer structure in hurricane intensity change using two retrospective HWRF forecasts of Hurricane Earl (2010) in which the vertical eddy diffusivity K-m was modified during physics upgrades. Earl undergoes rapid intensification (RI) in the low-K-m forecast as observed in nature, while it weakens briefly before resuming a slow intensification at the RI onset in the high-K-m forecast. Angular momentum budget analysis suggests that K-m modulates the convergence of angular momentum in the boundary layer, which is a key component of the hurricane spinup dynamics. Reducing K-m in the boundary layer causes enhancement of both the inflow and convergence, which in turn leads to stronger and more symmetric deep convection in the low-K-m forecast than in the high-K-m forecast. The deeper and stronger hurricane vortex with lower static stability in the low-K-m forecast is more resilient to shear than that in the high-K-m forecast. With a smaller vortex tilt in the low-K-m forecast, downdrafts associated with the vortex tilt are reduced, bringing less low-entropy air from the midlevels to the boundary layer, resulting in a less stable boundary layer. Future physics upgrades in operational hurricane models should consider this chain of multiscale interactions to assess their impact on model RI forecasts.
-
Source:Scientific Reports, 9, 178.
-
DOI:
-
Document Type:
-
Rights Information:CC BY
-
Compliance:Submitted
-
Main Document Checksum:
-
Download URL:
-
File Type: