Frequency of marine heatwaves in the North Atlantic and North Pacific since 1950

Details

• Journal Title:
  Geophysical Research Letters
• Personal Author:
  Scannell, Hillary A. ; Pershing, Andrew J. ; Alexander, Michael A. ; Thomas, Andrew C. ; Mills, Katherine E.
• NOAA Program & Office:
  OAR (Oceanic and Atmospheric Research) ; PSL (Physical Sciences Laboratory) ; ESRL (Earth System Research Laboratory)
• Description:
  Extreme and large-scale warming events in the ocean have been dubbed marine heatwaves, and these have been documented in both the Northern and Southern Hemispheres. This paper examines the intensity, duration, and frequency of positive sea surface temperature anomalies in the North Atlantic and North Pacific Oceans over the period 1950-2014 using an objective definition for marine heatwaves based on their probability of occurrence. Small-area anomalies occur more frequently than large-area anomalies, and this relationship can be characterized by a power law distribution. The relative frequency of large- versus small-area anomalies, represented by the power law slope parameter, is modulated by basin-scale modes of natural climate variability and anthropogenic warming. Findings suggest that the probability of marine heatwaves is a trade-off between size, intensity, and duration and that region specific variability modulates the frequency of these events.
• Source:
  Geophysical Research Letters, 43(5), 2069-2076.
• DOI:
  https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL067308
• Document Type:
  Journal Article
• Rights Information:
  CC BY-NC-ND
• Compliance:
  Submitted
• Main Document Checksum:
  urn:sha256:23fc41802e9009197133006f56caab0272681f14709e7f08985d453cf61085d6
• Download URL:
  https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/14607/noaa_14607_DS1.pdf
• File Type:
  [PDF - 702.08 KB ]