| Operational forecasting using automated guidance / Leonard W. Snellman - :14078 | National Weather Service (NWS)
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Operational forecasting using automated guidance / Leonard W. Snellman
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    United States, National Weather Service., Western Region,
  • Description:
    "I find myself between the proverbial Rock and a Hard Place these days. On the one hand, I think that persons involved in operational meteorology, Iike myself, should be strongly promoting the development and use of objective guidance, and on the other hand, I see pursuing this course too far as impIied by some top staff people as destroying the meteorologist's significant input into the operational end product. For a World-War-II-trained meteorologist to talk about the dangers of automation, which is the "in" thing these days, is to ask to be branded as Iiving in the past. Yet, I think that my past meteorological track record does not support that conclusion. Management decisions now being formulated on operational practices and the effect of these decisions on meteorological education may very welI determine whether operational forecasting Iives or dies as a satisfying career in the future. I believe man's position in the system must be kept strong-and significant if it is to live. In addition, I also believe the quality of meteorological services to our users wiII be inferior to what the state of the science wiII support if it dies. In the next few pages I wouId Iike to put my concerns in perspective, and offer some ideas regarding how we can direct operational meteorological practices to capitalize on manual input in an environment of increasing automation. Certainly using automation to our greatest advantage is the correct path to follow; but, it is not automation, per se, that I am questioning. Rather it is the philosophy espoused by some of how automated guidance should be used"--Introduction.

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