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Zonal mean temperature forecasts by the NMC global spectral model
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1983
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Description:"Beginning with data for September 1981, a systematic verification program has been run by Mark Rozwodoski to diagnose, on a monthly basis, the zonal average, temperature forecast errors committed by the NMC, large-scale prediction model. The operational analysis (Hough) is used as a reference. The mean and standard deviation statistics are computed for the twelve mandatory pressures (1000 - 50 mb) for forecasts of length 24, 48, 60, and 72 hours. For the longer range forecasts (out to 192 hours), only four pressure levels are verified, viz: 1000, 850, 500, and 250 mbs. In addition, to the forecast statistics, the mean and standard deviation of the verifying (monthly mean) analysis is also computed"--Introduction.
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Content Notes:Joseph P. Gerrity, Jr.
"April 1983."
"This is an unreviewed manuscript, primarily intended for informal exchange of information among NMC staff members."
System requirements: Adobe Acrobat Reader.
Includes bibliographical references (page 8).
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Rights Information:Public Domain
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Compliance:Library
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