Operational ensemble prediction at the National Meteorological Center, Practical Aspects

Tracton, M. Steven; Kalnay, Eugenia, 1942-

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Operational ensemble prediction at the National Meteorological Center, Practical Aspects

1993
By Tracton, M. Steven ; Kalnay, Eugenia, 1942-
Series: Office note (National Centers for Environmental Prediction (U.S.)) ; 392

[PDF-2.76 MB]

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Personal Author:

Tracton, M. Steven ; Kalnay, Eugenia, 1942-

Tracton, M. Steven ; Kalnay, Eugenia, 1942- Less -
Corporate Authors:

National Meteorological Center (U.S.)
NOAA Program & Office:

NWS (National Weather Service) ; NCEP (National Centers for Environmental Prediction)

NWS (National Weather Service) ; NCEP (National Centers for Environmental Prediction) Less -
Description:

"A new era in operational numerical weather prediction (NWP), particularly as it relates to medium- and extended- range forecasting, began on 7 December 1992 when the National Meteorological Center (NMC) began to perform daily ensemble predictions. Instead of a single prediction through day 10, the new system provides forecasters with 14 Medium-Range Forecast (MRF) model predictions valid for the same 10-day period. The construction of the forecast ensembles is based on a combination of time lagging (Lagged-Average Forecasting or LAF, Hoffman and Kalnay, 1983), and a new method denoted "Breeding of Growing Modes" or BGM (Toth and Kalnay, 1993)"--Introduction, paragraph 1.
Content Notes:

M. Steven Tracton and Eugenia Kalnay.

"April 1993."

System requirements: Adobe Acrobat Reader.

Includes bibliographical references (pages 16-18).
Keywords:

[+]

Mathematical Models Numerical Analysis Numerical Weather Forecasting Weather Forecasting
Series:

Office note (National Centers for Environmental Prediction (U.S.)) ; 392
Document Type:

Office Note
Place as Subject:

United States
Rights Information:

Public Domain
Compliance:

Library
Main Document Checksum:

[+]

urn:sha256:4d11d87e463874495cf601294ca661bbd3d06c766b5e94b71050fb96c65d5905
Download URL:

https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/11440/noaa_11440_DS1.pdf
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Operational ensemble prediction at the National Meteorological Center, Practical Aspects

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