Details:

Personal Author:
Haugen, Duane A. ; Birkenheuer, Daniel ; Bunting, Robert F. ; McCoy, Mary Cairns ; Williams, Gary M.
Haugen, Duane A. ; Birkenheuer, Daniel ; Bunting, Robert F. ; McCoy, Mary Cairns ; Williams, Gary M. Less -
Corporate Authors:
Environmental Research Laboratories (U.S.), Environmental Sciences Group,
NOAA Program & Office:
OAR (Oceanic and Atmospheric Research)
Description:
From 1 June to 15 August 1982 the Program for Regional Observing and Forecasting Services (PROFS) conducted a forecast exercise in the Front Range area of Colorado. One purpose of the exercise was to evaluate the PROFS real-time operational workstation as an aid to improving the timeliness and accuracy of short-term forecasts. The authors describe the workstation, the forecasts issued (severe storm warnings, and short-term point forecasts of wind, visibility, and precipitation), and the verification program. Forecasts issued from an AFOS (Automation of Field Operations and Services) workstation are compared with forecasts prepared on the PROFS workstation. Probability of detection scores, false alarm rates, and critical success indices are given for each workstation. Small sample sizes and problems in exercise design preclude definitive answers. However, the exercise results suggest that improved forecasting performance is possible with the advent of advanced technology and training of forecasters in preparing short-term forecasts as well as in using advanced technology capabilities.
Content Notes:
Duane A. Haugen, Daniel Birkenheuer, Robert F. Bunting, Mary Cairns McCoy, Gary M. Williams.

"Program for Regional Observing and Forecasting Services, Boulder, Colorado."

"June 1984."

Also available online in PDF via the NOAA Central Library.

Includes bibliographical references (pages 19-20).


Keywords:
[+]
Analysis Automation Evaluation Forecasting Paired Comparisons (Statistics) Severe Storms Weather Forecasting
Series:
NOAA technical report ERL ; 427-ESG 1
Document Type:
Technical Report
Name as Subject:
Program for Regional Observing and Forecasting Services (U.S.) ; Program for Regional Observing and Forecasting Services (U.S.)
Program for Regional Observing and Forecasting Services (U.S.) ; Program for Regional Observing and Forecasting Services (U.S.) Less -
License:
https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/
Rights Information:
CC0 Public Domain
Compliance:
Library
Main Document Checksum:
[+]
urn:sha256:c0d8408e98504ac16421037aa708b0b03898c96575a3cc19736ecdf3f1a1a8c5
Download URL:
https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/11222/noaa_11222_DS1.pdf
File Type:

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