Welcome to the NOAA Institutional Repository | A tsunami forecast model for Newport, Oregon - :11173 | Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research (OAR)
Stacks Logo
Advanced Search
Select up to three search categories and corresponding keywords using the fields to the right. Refer to the Help section for more detailed instructions.
 
 
Help
Clear All Simple Search
Advanced Search
A tsunami forecast model for Newport, Oregon
  • Published Date:
    2014
Filetype[PDF - 11.69 MB]


This document cannot be previewed automatically as it exceeds 5 MB
Please click the thumbnail image to view the document.
A  tsunami forecast model for Newport, Oregon
Details:
  • Personal Authors:
  • Corporate Authors:
    NOAA Center for Tsunami Research
  • Series:
    NOAA OAR special report
    PMEL tsunami forecast series ; v. 5
    Contribution (Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory (U.S.)) ; no. 3449
    Contribution (University of Washington. Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean) ; no. 1771
  • Document Type:
  • Description:
    The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration has developed a tsunami forecast model for Newport, Oregon, as part of an effort to provide tsunami forecasts for United States coastal communities. The forecast model is a set of nested grids constructed by incrementally subsampling and smoothing a reference high-resolution digital elevation model. During this process, forecast model results were monitored for deviations from those computed with the more accurate, higher-resolution model. Validation and stability testing of the tsunami forecast model developed for this economically important and populous coastal community was conducted to ensure model performance and robustness across a suite of scenarios. A total of 11 historical tsunami events and 19 synthetically generated mega-tsunami (Mw 9.3) events around the Pacific basin were used for validation and stability testing of the Newport forecast model. Validation results show that model output track observed data within an expected accuracy tolerance, thus providing a quantitative estimate of the tsunami time series, inundation, and runup at Newport for tested events. In addition to robustness, reproducibility of results was verified by comparing 2009 development results with those attained during end-to-end operational system testing performed in 2013. The differences noted in this report are attributed to the Method of Splitting Tsunami numerical code updates made after the Newport model was developed (2004) and updated (2009). Of greatest significance, 2 013 test results more accurately compare with observations during the 2011 Tohoku tsunami than the earlier development results. Overall, validation results combined with benchmarking show that the forecast model developed for Newport consistently generates 4 hr of tsunami simulation in significantly less than 10 min of CPU time without compromising forecast results for all scenarios tested. [doi:10.7289/V5125QK9 (http://dx.doi.org/10.7289/V5125QK9)]

  • Supporting Files:
    No Additional Files