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Predicted Chance That Global Warming Will Temporarily Exceed 1.5 °C

CITE Title : Predicted Chance That Global Warming Will Temporarily Exceed 1.5 °C Personal Author(s) : Smith, D. M.;Scaife, A. A.;Hawkins, E.;Bilbao, R.;Boer, G. J.;Caian, M.;Caron, L.-P.;Danabasoglu, G.;Delworth, T.;Doblas-Reyes, F. J.;Doescher, R.;Dunstone, N. J.;Eade, R.;Hermanson, L.;Ishii, M.;Kharin, V.;Kimoto, M.;Koenigk, T.;Kushnir, Y.;Matei, D.;Meehl, G. A.;Menegoz, M.;Merryfield, W. J.;Mochizuki, T.;Müller, W. A.;Pohlmann, H.;Power, S.;Rixen, M.;Sospedra-Alfonso, R.;Tuma, M.;Wyser, K.;Yang, X.;Yeager, S.; Published Date : 2018 Source : Geophysical Research Letters, 45(21)( 11,895–11,903 DOI : https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL079362 Journal Title : Geophysical Research Letters Smith, D. M. et al. (2018). Predicted Chance That Global Warming Will Temporarily Exceed 1.5 °C. 45(21). https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL079362 Smith, D. M. et al. "Predicted Chance That Global Warming Will Temporarily Exceed 1.5 °C" 45, no. 21 (2018), https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL079362 Smith, D. M. et al. "Predicted Chance That Global Warming Will Temporarily Exceed 1.5 °C" vol. 45, no. 21, 2018, https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL079362 Export RIS Citation Information.

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Smith, D. M.

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Scaife, A. A.

2018 | Geophysical Research Letters, 45(21)( 11,895–11,903

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The Paris Agreement calls for efforts to limit anthropogenic global warming to less than 1.5 °C above preindustrial levels. However, natural internal...
Robust skill of decadal climate predictions

CITE Title : Robust skill of decadal climate predictions Personal Author(s) : Smith, D. M.;Eade, R.;Scaife, A. A.;Caron, L.-P.;Danabasoglu, G.;DelSole, T. M.;Delworth, T.;Doblas-Reyes, F. J.;Dunstone, N. J.;Hermanson, L.;Kharin, V.;Kimoto, M.;Merryfield, W. J.;Mochizuki, T.;Müller, W. A.;Pohlmann, H.;Yeager, S.;Yang, X.; Published Date : 2019 Source : npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 2 (13) DOI : https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-019-0071-y Journal Title : npj Climate and Atmospheric Science Smith, D. M. et al. (2019). Robust skill of decadal climate predictions. 2https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-019-0071-y Smith, D. M. et al. "Robust skill of decadal climate predictions" 2 (2019), https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-019-0071-y Smith, D. M. et al. "Robust skill of decadal climate predictions" vol. 2, 2019, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-019-0071-y Export RIS Citation Information.

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Smith, D. M.

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Eade, R.

2019 | npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 2 (13)

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There is a growing need for skilful predictions of climate up to a decade ahead. Decadal climate predictions show high skill for surface temperature, ...
North Atlantic climate far more predictable than models imply

CITE Title : North Atlantic climate far more predictable than models imply Personal Author(s) : Smith, D. M.;Scaife, A. A.;Eade, R.;Athanasiadis, P.;Bellucci, A.;Bethke, I.;Bilbao, R.;Borchert, L. F.;Caron, L.-P.;Counillon, F.;Danabasoglu, G.;Delworth, T.;Doblas-Reyes, F. J.;Dunstone, N. J.;Estella-Perez, V.;Flavoni, S.;Hermanson, L.;Keenlyside, N.;Kharin, V.;Kimoto, M.;Merryfield, W. J.;Mignot, J.;Mochizuki, T.;Modali, K.;Monerie, P.-A.;Müller, W. A.;Nicolí, D.;Ortega, P.;Pankatz, K.;Pohlmann, H.;Robson, J.;Ruggieri, P.;Sospedra-Alfonso, R.;Swingedouw, D.;Wang, Y.;Wild, S.;Yeager, S.;Yang, X.;Zhang, L.; Published Date : 2020 Source : Nature, 583(7818), 796-800 DOI : https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-020-2525-0 Journal Title : Nature Smith, D. M. et al. (2020). North Atlantic climate far more predictable than models imply. 583(7818). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-020-2525-0 Smith, D. M. et al. "North Atlantic climate far more predictable than models imply" 583, no. 7818 (2020), https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-020-2525-0 Smith, D. M. et al. "North Atlantic climate far more predictable than models imply" vol. 583, no. 7818, 2020, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-020-2525-0 Export RIS Citation Information.

:

Smith, D. M.

;

Scaife, A. A.

2020 | Nature, 583(7818), 796-800

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Quantifying signals and uncertainties in climate models is essential for the detection, attribution, prediction and projection of climate change1,2,3....